New Poll for New York Senate: Gillibrand 40%, Generic Republican 39%
A few days ago, this poll from Rasmussen was put out. I thought it would be of interest:
New York Democratic Senator Kirsten Gillibrand remains in a vulnerable position in her bid for a full Senate term in New York even though no viable Republican running against her.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely voters in the Empire State finds Gillibrand earning just 40% support, while an unnamed generic Republican candidate picks up 39%. Seven percent (7%) prefer some other candidate, and 14% are undecided.
Incumbents who earn less than 50% of the vote at this stage of a campaign are considered vulnerable.
Gillibrand’s support for the new national health care plan doesn’t seem to be much of a factor for now the way it is in other states. Fifty percent (50%) of New York voters favor repeal of the plan, while 46% oppose repeal. Those numbers include 37% who strongly favor repeal and 36% who are strongly opposed.
The generic Republican earns 76% of the vote from those who strongly favor repeal. Gillibrand gets 72% support from those who strongly oppose repeal.
State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo’s still holds near two-to-one leads over his three top Republican opponents, including newcomer Steve Levy, in the race for governor of New York.
Gillibrand earned 39% support the last time she was matched with a generic Republican candidate in January. The Republican candidate posted 34% support at that time, while former Tennessee Congressman Harold Ford Jr took 10% of the vote as an independent candidate. Ford, now a Manhattan investment banker, has since opted not to run for either the Democratic Senate nomination or as an independent candidate.
In March, Gillibrand was neck-and-neck with a named Republican, former NY Governor George Pataki, who so far has not indicated a willingness to run. In November, Gillibrand also came out barely ahead, 45% to 42%, nearly identical to findings two months earlier.
Men in New York prefer the unnamed Republican over Gillibrand 48% to 36%, while women prefer Gillibrand 44% to 32%.
Forty-three percent (43%) of voters not affiliated with either party support the generic Republican candidate, while 35% favor Gillibrand.
Only 13% of New York voters share a very favorable impression of Gillibrand, showing virtually no change over the past month. Fifteen percent (15%) view the Democrat very unfavorably, and 20% have no opinion of her.
At this point in a campaign, Rasmussen Reports considers the number of people with strong opinions more significant than the total favorable/unfavorable numbers.
Rasmussen Reports has recently surveyed Senate races in Arizona, Alabama, Nevada,Arkansas, Pennsylvania, California, Indiana, Wisconsin, Washington, Delaware, Florida,Illinois, Kentucky, Kansas, Maryland, Missouri, New Hampshire, North Dakota, Ohio,Oregon, Connecticut, Illinois, North Carolina, Iowa, Vermont, Idaho, Hawaii, andGeorgia.