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New Poll for New York Senate: Gillibrand 40%, Generic Republican 39%

April 16, 2010

A few days ago, this poll from Rasmussen was put out. I thought it would be of interest:

New York Democratic Senator Kirsten Gillibrand remains in a vulnerable position in her bid for a full Senate term in New York even though no viable Republican running against her.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely voters in the Empire State finds Gillibrand earning just 40% support, while an unnamed generic Republican candidate picks up 39%. Seven percent (7%) prefer some other candidate, and 14% are undecided.

Incumbents who earn less than 50% of the vote at this stage of a campaign are considered vulnerable.

Gillibrand’s support for the new national health care plan doesn’t seem to be much of a factor for now the way it is in other states. Fifty percent (50%) of New York voters favor repeal of the plan, while 46% oppose repeal. Those numbers include 37% who strongly favor repeal and 36% who are strongly opposed.

The generic Republican earns 76% of the vote from those who strongly favor repeal. Gillibrand gets 72% support from those who strongly oppose repeal.

State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo’s still holds near two-to-one leads over his three top Republican opponents, including newcomer Steve Levy, in the race for governor of New York.

Gillibrand earned 39% support the last time she was matched with a generic Republican candidate in January. The Republican candidate posted 34% support at that time, while former Tennessee Congressman Harold Ford Jr took 10% of the vote as an independent candidate. Ford, now a Manhattan investment banker, has since opted not to run for either the Democratic Senate nomination or as an independent candidate.

In March, Gillibrand was neck-and-neck with a named Republican, former NY Governor George Pataki, who so far has not indicated a willingness to run. In November, Gillibrand also came out barely ahead, 45% to 42%, nearly identical to findings two months earlier.

Men in New York prefer the unnamed Republican over Gillibrand 48% to 36%, while women prefer Gillibrand 44% to 32%.

Forty-three percent (43%) of voters not affiliated with either party support the generic Republican candidate, while 35% favor Gillibrand.

Only 13% of New York voters share a very favorable impression of Gillibrand, showing virtually no change over the past month. Fifteen percent (15%) view the Democrat very unfavorably, and 20% have no opinion of her.

At this point in a campaign, Rasmussen Reports considers the number of people with strong opinions more significant than the total favorable/unfavorable numbers.

Rasmussen Reports has recently surveyed Senate races in ArizonaAlabamaNevada,ArkansasPennsylvaniaCaliforniaIndianaWisconsinWashington, DelawareFlorida,IllinoisKentuckyKansasMaryland, MissouriNew HampshireNorth Dakota, Ohio,OregonConnecticutIllinoisNorth Carolina, Iowa, Vermont, Idaho, Hawaii, andGeorgia.

  1. The Passion of Ayn permalink
    April 17, 2010 12:25 pm

    This piece about the “Poll…Gillibrand” put me in mind of something done by one of my “Characters” or perhaps you might prefer “Character-actors”. It’s a variant on the old political saw, “You can’t beat somebody with nobody.” In the poll “Generic Republican” is still “NOBODY”.

    A few months ago on January 5th, even in your time a mere flicker of a shadow not filtered by a Cukalouris, my creation RHM(GW) posted the item below. It was relevant then and it is still relevant. When you read it please remember that my question to any and all remains the same, “What are your/our premises?”


    [In Atlas Shrugs in Brooklyn 2010 January 5]:
    “Raymond Hart Massey (as Gail Wynand)

    ‘The Banner’

    At least Rick Lazio is in the race for governor. Where is the rest of the Republican Party?

    []….The Republican Party must find its voice—nationally, at each of the several states of the nation and at the various localities, city and county, in each and every one of “These United States”.

    Nationally, the Obama administration has demonstrated its inability to lead, uphold or defend. For their part, the Republicans have neither led, followed, nor gotten out of the way.
    As and for the Republicans in New York State the future remains especially problematic. Democratic control continues to be an unmitigated and evolving “man-made disaster”. Wake up, smell the coffee, we’re already in 2010!!!! To date, there still are not enough Republican candidates who have announced for each of the state-wide slots. Candidates for the NYS Assembly and Senate are also scarcer ‘n hens’ teeth. Where is the Republican leadership—Ed Cox on down to the county leaders?


    With nobody to say it [no real candidates], can anything be said [if no tree falls in the forest—you know the rest]? Without form, can there be any content? If not now, when?[]”


    My premises remain constant— The right, dignity, power and supremacy of the individual against anything that lessens the individual, especially in the name of any collective or greater good.

    Partisan politics is a collective pursuit by its nature. It is a necessary evil, to be indulged in carefully, sparingly and critically. With that caveat, we still need worthy indvivduals [or even just one] to carry the banner so that we may proudly join and support, as individuals. Under no circumstnce should we FOLLOW as slaves or underlings, or as a mere member of mob or the masses.

  2. Young Republican permalink
    April 18, 2010 12:00 am

    I saw Gov. Pataki on Morning Joe, he says he is not going to run for Senate instead he is going to work on repealing ObamaCare. I have one question for him, the only way to stop the liberal agenda is to get republican/conservative candidates elected, and if people who can win don’t run how is this ever going to happen?

    My prediction is that New York’s seat in the Senate will be the deciding vote after November on whether republicans take over the majority, or the dems keep it for another term.

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