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Facing Challenging Election, Grimm Boasts New Brooklyn Headquarters and New York Post Endorsement

October 1, 2010

Things are okay in Grimm World.

The 13th Congressional GOP candidate, still fresh from a sensational primary victory over GOP establishment pick Michael Allegretti,  has a few good things happening for him this week, including the opening of a new campaign headquarters in Brooklyn and the recent endorsement of The New York Post.

However, there is some mixed news as well.

Let’s start with the good news.

Here is The New York Post’s endorsement of Grimm:

Democratic incumbent Michael McMahon won this 30-year Republican stronghold in 2008 after then-Rep. Vito Fossella’s DWI arrest and subsequent revelation of a mistress and out-of-wedlock child.

McMahon has tried to craft a moderate image — he’s the only Democrat in New York’s congressional delegation to have voted against ObamaCare. But he’s happily supported all the Dems’ spending proposals, most notably the stimulus package.

Michael Grimm represents a solid return to the district’s roots. A decorated Marine who served in the first Gulf War, Grimm subsequently joined the FBI — where his undercover work helped bust Gambino crime family operatives, several New Jersey pols and, in 2003, 50-some Wall Street crooks in Operation Wooden Nickel.

Grimm cites his post-FBI career as a restaurant owner and small businessman to push fiscal sanity in Washington — and tax relief for all Americans.

Not bad.

Next we have a few new ads. The first one is a decent smear ad against McMahon (slightly deceptive but effective) that casts the incumbent Democrat as an Obama Democrat:

Next, we have a pretty boring ad that did not really hold my attention. Grimm calls it “A Tale of Two Michaels.” It just has an old, slow-moving feeling about it that just doesn’t work right:

The statements are good but the feel of the ad could be better. Nevertheless, not a terrible job.

Moving on, we have the announcement of Mr. Grimm’s new Brooklyn HQ opening in Dyker Heights on Saturday. The new center will be located at 7317 13th Avenue.

By all accounts, this is a very good location. We hope Mr. Grimm has a good opening.

Finally, some mixed news. Both campaigns–McMahon’s and Grimm’s–are claiming an edge thus far based on internal polling (thanks to one of our commentators for bringing this to our attention):

Rep. Mike McMahon (D), a freshman serving in a conservative district, was supposed to be among the most endangered New York Democrats this cycle.

But the Staten Island lawmaker released an internal poll Thursday suggesting that his contest against GOP challenger Michael Grimm won’t live up to those expectations.

McMahon leads Grimm 51 percent to 33 percent with 16 percent undecided, according to a Global Strategy Group survey of 500 likely voters conducted Sept. 19 to 22.

Global Strategies found that “despite the fact that the Democratic Party faces a difficult political environment, McMahon is personally  popular and well-liked across party lines.” Fifty-six percent of respondents have a favorable view of the first-term Congressman. And his favorables among independents and Republicans exceed 50 percent as well, according to the poll.

New York’s 13th district leans Republican, having given Sen. John McCain a 2-point edge in the 2008 presidential contest. But the centrist McMahon may have positioned himself well here.

He voted against the health care overhaul, a move that irked local labor unions (the SEIU, for example, has refused to endorse in this race), but may have boosted support among the center.

Confronted with the McMahon poll this afternoon, the National Republican Congressional Committee released to Roll Call its own internal poll showing that McMahon’s lead is just 8 points — 46 percent to 38 percent.

The survey of 400 likely voters was taken at roughly the same time, Sept. 22 to 23, and conducted by Barry Zeplowitz & Associates.

In a polling memo entitled, “Why Michael Grimm can win,” the firm offered this assessment of its numbers:

“Michael Grimm’s strong primary showing along with the political environment that exists in the district and the country makes this race very winnable. His ability to grow his favorable rating while McMahon’s has remained stagnant is another positive sign. An incumbent with a single-digit lead with 39 days left in the campaign is a vulnerable incumbent.”

Without independent accounts, it’s hard to put any stake on either claim. However, it is something to think about.

But there is no doubt for Mr. Grimm: this will be a very challenging race.

One thing is doubtless: we will be following it every step of the way 😉

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17 Comments
  1. The Deal We Should All Agree On permalink
    October 2, 2010 11:38 am

    Grimm looks like he is the right man at the right time in the right place. Let’s give him a shot at cleaning up the mess.

    Let’s apply the same principle across the board.

    ALL INCUMBENTS OUT!

    Here’s the All-Reform slate for Southwest Brooklyn:

    Grimm for Congress

    DiSanto for State Senate 22nd SD

    Anybody-but Diane Savino 23rd SD

    Malliotakis for Assembly

    Cipriano for Assembly

    Doherty for Assembly

    Carbo for Assembly

    Hayon for Asssembly

    Kick all the dysfunctional career politicians to the curb!!!!

    • Establishment Hypocrites Galore permalink
      October 2, 2010 4:29 pm

      Who in God’s name is Cipriano? Someone running for assembly? Is this the kid Craig Eaton sacrificed Michael Allegretti for to “one-up” the 49th AD leadership?

      In that case, your list is deeply flawed.

    • john brown permalink
      October 2, 2010 5:42 pm

      Finally someone with brains, in Brooklyn.

      • This deal is the "Early Bird Special" (No Substitutions) permalink
        October 2, 2010 6:01 pm

        Not all Republicans are worthy, certainly no incumbent Republican who backed any deals for Monserrate and Espada.

        If you clean “The Filth” out of Gerritsen Beach and Marine Park you get rid of “The Filth” in Benson, Bath, Dyker and the rest of the Brooklyn neighborhoods covered with Bay Ridge’s “Golden Shower”.

        The 100% “No Incumbents” ticket works for the overwhelming majority of Republicans in Brooklyn. It works 100% for everybody not “in the tank” for Brooklyn’s Chicken Rubber King Marty Golden.

  2. October 2, 2010 12:53 pm

    As much as we want to see NY 13 restored to GOP control, a vote for Michael Grimm is a vote to restore Molinari control over the Island GOP. Michael Grimm is an establishment candidate.

    http://michaelgrimmfactcheck.blogspot.com/2010/10/michael-grimm-on-financial.html

    • Geriatric O'Brien permalink
      October 2, 2010 4:35 pm

      So, in other words, you want us to support a Democrat who voted for the stimulii of Obama and Pelosi?

      From what I can tell, you want a Democrat to win. You have sour grapes over your boy toy Allegretti losing and now you want to fly the remnants of his campaign into the shiny, victorious Grimm campaign.

      Get over it and get a life buddy. You’re embarrassing yourself.

      • October 2, 2010 4:53 pm

        What did the majority of Staten Island and Brooklyn Republicans do in 2008, they voted for McMahon instead of Robert Stranieri. SI Republcian officials and Molinari actively worked against Stranieri while fully knowing what would happen if the left gained more seats in the House. This year we know the GOP will retake the House.

        So we are faced with a decision, dont vote at all, vote for the Libertarian candidate, or vote for Grimm. There are reasons we dont support Grimm and unlike others we dont vote down party lines like Grimm does, we vote for the best qualified candidate or dont vote at all.

        Grimm is very flawed just like his personal financial situation proves.

      • Geriatric O'Brien permalink
        October 2, 2010 5:05 pm

        Ah, so Molinari “did it,” so you can do it, too. Yeah, that “Two Wrongs Makes a Right” reasoning is really sound.

        Hope you caught my sarcasm 😉

  3. Everything Mentioned Here is Small Potatoes to McMahon permalink
    October 2, 2010 9:56 pm

    Some big turkeys are going to come home to roost on Mike McMahon.

    This race is about to cross the nuclear threshhold very soon.

    What’s good for the goose is sauce for the gander; and soon we’ll get a gander at the real goosey goose for this congressional gander.

    Then the gander’s goose will be cooked just like Vito Fossella’s.

    • A Saint Patrick's Parade Beauty Can Make A Beautiful October Surprise permalink
      October 5, 2010 11:41 pm

      Ah, will they love the Colleen in October and November the way they did when they were the early March Queen of a long bygone Saint Patrick’s Parade.

      Long gone the joys of Staten Island parades and those brandnew City Council days.

      • This is a McMahon problem that has really come home to roost permalink
        October 17, 2010 10:47 pm

        “Everything old is new again…” well, it’s not quite a Fossella, but close enough for government work.

        What’s going on at the McMahon homestead was a long time coming. The turkey that has come home to roost has so much more to do with an Italian-sytle Colleen Queen from not so long ago and not so far away than it does Thanksgiving this year.

        City Council, Supreme Court, Congress — a great run while it lasted, but all good things must come to an end, right?

  4. Michael Grimm and Russell Gallo are Strange Bedfellows permalink
    October 3, 2010 11:00 am

    Okay, let’s pretend that Russell Gallo didn’t say a million bad things about the Republican Congressional Candidate Michael Grimm during the past primary campaign. Especially, the very obnoxious slurs against the man’s integrity concerning which military honors he had earned and displayed.

    What does Mr. Gallo bring to the Grimm campaign in Brooklyn other than his violent temper and fractured syntax? We know that he is part of the deal with Republican Chairman Craig Eaton, but sometimes less is more. In this instance, it would be a lot more without Krazy Kerosene Russ Gallo’s fiery rhetoric and emotional instability.

    A much stronger race in the 47th and 49th ADs would be with the “Dump All Incumbents Ticket”. It would have verbal clarity and logical consistency, and not bear any of the burdens of having to defend an incumbent Republican with a bad personal and political history. Make no mistake, Mr. Grimm, the lone “Brooklyn Republican” incumbent is Eaton’s and Gallo’s only real client in 2010; and right now, Russell Gallo has to serve too many masters to be of any real use to the Grimm campaign.

    With these bedfellows, it surely will be grim facing the wall.

    • Geriatric O'Brien permalink
      October 3, 2010 4:54 pm

      One wonders if Russell Gallo is related to the two-spirited Aleutian Inuits. As regards his mind and body… Lol

  5. Again, The Deal We Should All Agree On permalink
    October 3, 2010 8:07 pm

    Grimm looks like he is the right man at the right time in the right place. Let’s give him a shot at cleaning up the mess.

    Nicole Malliotakis is coming on strong with a good message.

    Everybody wants change that will work and not the same old dyfunctional three men in a room that has been the rule in Albany for years under Paterson, Spitzer and Pataki. Everybody on the Republican Team can sing that same tune except for one croaker who’s so flat he stands out from all the other Republicans running this year MARTY GOLDEN. He can’t sing the tune of change that will work, because he has been part of the problem

    The winning Republican team has to get together and shout,

    “ALL INCUMBENTS SHARE THE SAME BAD RECORD…
    …ALL INCUMBENTS OUT!”

    “ALL INCUMBENTS OUT!”

    “ALL INCUMBENTS OUT!”

    Here’s the winning Republican slate for Southwest Brooklyn:

    Grimm for Congress…”ALL INCUMBENTS OUT!”

    Malliotakis for Assembly…”ALL INCUMBENTS OUT!”

    Cipriano for Assembly…”ALL INCUMBENTS OUT!”

    Doherty for Assembly…”ALL INCUMBENTS OUT!”

    Carbo for Assembly…”ALL INCUMBENTS OUT!”

    Hayon for Asssembly…”ALL INCUMBENTS OUT!”

    “ALL INCUMBENTS had their turn…
    “ALL INCUMBENTS FAILED…”ALL INCUMBENTS OUT!”

    • Establishment Hypocrites Galore permalink
      October 3, 2010 9:37 pm

      Who in God’s name is Cipriano? Someone running for assembly? Is this the kid Craig Eaton sacrificed Michael Allegretti for to “one-up” the 49th AD leadership?

      In that case, your list is deeply flawed.

      And Joseph Hayon? Isn’t he the guy no one likes?

      I would calm down and reassess your suggestions…

  6. Reformed Seergy Member permalink
    October 4, 2010 9:27 pm

    The Brooklyn GOP will do everything they can to get Grimm back for beating their anointed one, Michael Allegretti, including by endorsing Grimm’s campaign, the fabled kiss of death. Despite their best efforts, though, Grimm’s Brooklyn Campaign Manager Joe Kovac has been doing a spectacular job organizing that campaign Brooklyn-side and that should bring Grimm much success. We’re rooting for you, Mike and Joe!

  7. Pollsters not putting much stock in Staten Island congressional race permalink
    October 14, 2010 12:53 am

    Pollsters not putting much stock in Staten Island congressional race
    Published: Wednesday, October 13, 2010, 3:37 PM
    Tom Wrobleski

    STATEN ISLAND, N.Y. — The race between Rep. Michael McMahon (D-Staten Island/Brooklyn) and Republican Michael Grimm might be generating a lot of heat here, but the campaign isn’t exciting pollsters much.

    And that could be good news for McMahon.

    The Siena Research Institute, one of the most respected independent polling organizations in the state, today released polls in three of the most hotly contested congressional races in New York.

    McMahon’s district, NY-13, was not among them.

    “NY-13 did not make the cut,” said Siena pollster Steven Greenberg. “It doesn’t seem to be on anybody’s list of the top 50 or 100 House races across the country.”

    Given the intense interest in the possibility of a Democratic loss of House control, borough political observers said that Siena and other pollsters, like Quinnipiac University, would certainly be polling here they felt that McMahon was in danger.

    Even moreso, they said, given the fact that the Island voted for Republican John McCain for president in 2008, and that McMahon’s seat used to belong to Republican Vito Fossella, whose name still rings bells with the media.

    “That tells you something,” said one insider of Siena’s lack of interest.

    Greenberg said Siena has polled in six congressional campaigns and a number of other statewide and local races in New York so far this season.

    Because Siena doesn’t have the resources to poll in every race, Greenberg said the pollsters talk to political insiders on both sides of the aisle and media members in the various districts to get a sense of which races are the hottest ones.

    “We need to prioritize,” he said.

    When asked if Siena was being told that McMahon appeared to be in good shape, Greenberg said, “That seems to be the word.”

    He said Siena also looks at where the National Republican Campaign Committee and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee are spending their money to boost candidates or protect vulnerable seats.

    “We try and follow the money,” Greenberg said, adding that “there doesn’t seem to be a big influx of Washington money” into NY-13.

    None of which means that McMahon can take it easy.

    “It’s not to say that NY-13 won’t be a close race,” Greenberg said. “That could happen. But from what we’re hearing, there’s not a lot of effort that’s going into NY-13.”

    Congressional Quarterly on Sept. 30 said that McMahon’s internal polling had him ahead of Grimm by 18 points, 51 to 33 percent. A Grimm internal at the same time showed McMahon up by 8 points, 46 to 38, the website said.

    Candidates generally do not release their internal poll results to the media. Numbers frequently leak out, however, after campaigns send supporters and donors information about internal polling.

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