Facing Challenging Election, Grimm Boasts New Brooklyn Headquarters and New York Post Endorsement
Things are okay in Grimm World.
The 13th Congressional GOP candidate, still fresh from a sensational primary victory over GOP establishment pick Michael Allegretti, has a few good things happening for him this week, including the opening of a new campaign headquarters in Brooklyn and the recent endorsement of The New York Post.
However, there is some mixed news as well.
Let’s start with the good news.
Here is The New York Post’s endorsement of Grimm:
Democratic incumbent Michael McMahon won this 30-year Republican stronghold in 2008 after then-Rep. Vito Fossella’s DWI arrest and subsequent revelation of a mistress and out-of-wedlock child.
McMahon has tried to craft a moderate image — he’s the only Democrat in New York’s congressional delegation to have voted against ObamaCare. But he’s happily supported all the Dems’ spending proposals, most notably the stimulus package.
Michael Grimm represents a solid return to the district’s roots. A decorated Marine who served in the first Gulf War, Grimm subsequently joined the FBI — where his undercover work helped bust Gambino crime family operatives, several New Jersey pols and, in 2003, 50-some Wall Street crooks in Operation Wooden Nickel.
Grimm cites his post-FBI career as a restaurant owner and small businessman to push fiscal sanity in Washington — and tax relief for all Americans.
Next we have a few new ads. The first one is a decent smear ad against McMahon (slightly deceptive but effective) that casts the incumbent Democrat as an Obama Democrat:
Next, we have a pretty boring ad that did not really hold my attention. Grimm calls it “A Tale of Two Michaels.” It just has an old, slow-moving feeling about it that just doesn’t work right:
The statements are good but the feel of the ad could be better. Nevertheless, not a terrible job.
Moving on, we have the announcement of Mr. Grimm’s new Brooklyn HQ opening in Dyker Heights on Saturday. The new center will be located at 7317 13th Avenue.
By all accounts, this is a very good location. We hope Mr. Grimm has a good opening.
Rep. Mike McMahon (D), a freshman serving in a conservative district, was supposed to be among the most endangered New York Democrats this cycle.
But the Staten Island lawmaker released an internal poll Thursday suggesting that his contest against GOP challenger Michael Grimm won’t live up to those expectations.
McMahon leads Grimm 51 percent to 33 percent with 16 percent undecided, according to a Global Strategy Group survey of 500 likely voters conducted Sept. 19 to 22.
Global Strategies found that “despite the fact that the Democratic Party faces a difficult political environment, McMahon is personally popular and well-liked across party lines.” Fifty-six percent of respondents have a favorable view of the first-term Congressman. And his favorables among independents and Republicans exceed 50 percent as well, according to the poll.
New York’s 13th district leans Republican, having given Sen. John McCain a 2-point edge in the 2008 presidential contest. But the centrist McMahon may have positioned himself well here.
He voted against the health care overhaul, a move that irked local labor unions (the SEIU, for example, has refused to endorse in this race), but may have boosted support among the center.
Confronted with the McMahon poll this afternoon, the National Republican Congressional Committee released to Roll Call its own internal poll showing that McMahon’s lead is just 8 points — 46 percent to 38 percent.
The survey of 400 likely voters was taken at roughly the same time, Sept. 22 to 23, and conducted by Barry Zeplowitz & Associates.
In a polling memo entitled, “Why Michael Grimm can win,” the firm offered this assessment of its numbers:
“Michael Grimm’s strong primary showing along with the political environment that exists in the district and the country makes this race very winnable. His ability to grow his favorable rating while McMahon’s has remained stagnant is another positive sign. An incumbent with a single-digit lead with 39 days left in the campaign is a vulnerable incumbent.”
Without independent accounts, it’s hard to put any stake on either claim. However, it is something to think about.
But there is no doubt for Mr. Grimm: this will be a very challenging race.
One thing is doubtless: we will be following it every step of the way 😉