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Rasmussen: Gillibrand Still Running Strong Against GOP Opponents

September 6, 2010

Kirsten Gillibrand

Rasmussen has released a poll giving us a picture of GOP candidates and their likelihood to defeat Kirsten Gillibrand this fall:

Democratic Senator Kirsten Gillibrand continues to hold double-digit leads over three potential Republican opponents in her reelection bid for U.S. Senate in New York.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Gillibrand earning 51% support when matched against both former Congressman Joe DioGuardi and ex-Port Authority Commissioner Bruce Blakeman.

DioGuardi earns 31% of the vote against Gillibrand while Blakeman earns support from 32%. Still, over 15% of voters are either undecided or prefer another candidate in both match-ups.

Against economist David Malpass, Gillibrand holds a 53% to 27% lead. Seven percent (7%) prefer another candidate while 13% are undecided.

Gillibrand is running slightly stronger against the three candidates than she was inearly August.

Prior to the latest survey, Gillibrand maintained 46% to 51% support since May against the three lesser-known candidates after several major Republican players considered the race and decided not to run.

This statewide telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in New York was conducted on September 1, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Republicans will choose their nominee in a September 14 primary.

Gillibrand, who was appointed to the Senate seat last year when Hillary Clinton became secretary of State, holds double-digit leads against Blakeman and DioGuardi among voters not affiliated with either major political party. She now leads Malpass by eight among unaffiliated voters, after the two were tied in August.

This race remains Solid Democratic in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Balance of Power rankings. LINK

Gillibrand is viewed Very Favorably by 25% and Very Unfavorably by 22%.

More than 40% of voters in New York do not know enough about any of the three GOP candidates to venture even a soft opinion.

DioGuardi is viewed Very Favorably by six percent (6%) and Very Unfavorably by 10%.

Blakeman’s ratings are five percent (5%) Very Favorable, 11% Very Unfavorable.

Six percent (6%) view Malpass Very Favorably, while 10% share a Very Unfavorable opinion of him.

At this point in a campaign, Rasmussen Reports considers the number of people with a strong opinion more significant than the total favorable/unfavorable numbers.

Like voters nationwide, New York voters put the economy first. Fifty-two percent (52%) say economic issues are most important in determining how they vote, while domestic issues like health care and social security come in a distant second with 13%.

For more questions from this survey, see toplines. LINK

Barack Obama carried New York in the 2008 election with 62% of the vote, and 61% of voters in the state now approve of the job he is doing as president, up slightly from last month.

  1. Is anybody surprised that New York Republicans have no traction? permalink
    September 6, 2010 2:16 pm

    Look at the campaign activities of the Kings County Republican Party in 2010.

    They have opened a county-wide campaign “Victory” headquarters in the middle of the 49th AD, which they call the center of Brooklyn. When cahllenged on the selection of the site, a spokesman for Craig Eaton’s Brooklyn GOP points out that the new headquarters is centrally located for the 46th, 47th, 48th and 49th ADs. That’s not all of Brooklyn; it’s not even half of Brooklyn. Even if we look at the footprint of the only all-Brooklyn Republican district, Martin J. Golden’s Senate District, the new headquarters is “centered” in about one-half of it. No successful or even legitimate county-wide effort can emanate from such a “Headquarters”.

    We’ll get a preview of just how successful the Brooklyn GOP will be with next week’s primary results. A tremendous effort and resources have gone into the races of Michael Allegretti and Peter Cipriano, and to a much lesser degree the statewide Republican candidates endorsed by the Brooklyn GOP.

    If we assume (and indulge the delusional and fantastical thinking of Chairman Craig Eaton’s camp), that every candidate endorsed by the Brooklyn GOP wins their primaries, what happens next? What will be left for the November 2010 elections, a county-wide campaign headquarters at 7620 17th Avenue? That’s great for the combined race of Allegretti-Golden-Cipriano against McMahon-DiSanto-Abbate, but what about the races in the rest of Brooklyn?

    Of course there will be a fallout from the bitter battle in the 49th AD, no matter which side wins. It will spill outside the boundaries of that district. Of course, Craig Eaton’s attempted purge of the Brooklyn YRs will also be significant. As a result of those two alone, the November 2010 “Atlas Shrugged” reaction could be astounding. Of equal import is the appearance of some “Tea Party”-type line headed by Carl Paladino, whether local Republicans get to run on that line or not, it will be a drain on the “Republican Line” totals.

    In what should be a solid Republican year, even in Brooklyn, lookout for the worst Republican tallies ever across our entire borough.

  2. Slash and Burn permalink
    September 6, 2010 3:47 pm

    And we can thank Craig Eaton for that cluster muck.
    Once again, great job destroying the Brooklyn GOP Craig
    Setting up Marty’s flip back to the Democrats quite nicely.
    The questions remains: where will that leave you Craig? the front man is now the fall guy. Moron Supremo

  3. A fight in the GOP permalink
    September 7, 2010 3:25 pm

    Heads up! There seems to be a county supporter that hates AAA. Read the Jig comments for the last few blogs

    • Dumping "AAA" is so overdue, it's just too late permalink
      September 7, 2010 6:37 pm

      AAA’s constant nonsensical jabber has already made up too much of the blogging and the commentary on the Jig’s Up for too long a period.

      Even as a hate blog, “The Jig is Up Atlas” has been third rate because of the antics of “AAA”. Collectively, they’ve got nobody to blame, but themselves.

      Remember, this was the second blog item to appear on “The Jig is Up Atlas”:
      “A Call to Potential Contributors
      If you are interested in writing, please contact us.
      AAA- where are you???
      Posted by The Jig Is Up Atlas at 12/31/2009”

      Who ever put the blog together did it specifically for “AAA” to be Craig Eaton’s principal hate blog contributor– many suspect that “AAA” really is “EEE”– that’s right Craig “‘Big Foot’ in His Mouth” Eaton.

      There’s just no way to reestablish the potency of Craig Eaton’s favorite organ. It’s really been too much of a hands on enterprise for the Republican Kings County Chairman. There just isn’t any there, there; no shortage of shortage; or keeping up with the Johnsons.

      For the people on the other side who still give a flying f–k, here’s one where there’s no need to just “Blame Canada”, instead “Blame Eaton”, you’ll enjoy it more and you’ll like yourself, again.

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