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In New Poll, Cuomo Still Posts Big Leads for Governor

March 31, 2010

Rasmussen has released a new poll on the governor’s race here in New York. The poll tracked all potential Republican/Conservative candidates against Andrew Cuomo.

Here is the story:

State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo’s still holds near two-to-one leads over his three top Republican opponents, including newcomer Steve Levy, in the race for governor of New York.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely voters in the Empire State finds Cuomo leading Levy 50% to 26%. Seven percent (7%) like some other candidate, and 17% are undecided.

The likely Democratic nominee leads former Congressman Rick Lazio 52% to 29%. At the beginning of March, he posted a 55% to 30% lead over Lazio. In surveys running back to September, Cuomo’s support against Lazio has ranged from 54% to 65%, while Lazio’s high point to date was in January when he picked up 35% of the vote.

Given this match-up, six percent (9%) of voters opt for another candidate, while 13% are undecided.

Buffalo businessman Carl Paladino, who has been courting the Tea Party vote, trails Cuomo 51% to 28%. In the previous survey, Cuomo had a 56% to 27% lead. Six percent (6%) again like some other candidate. Fifteen percent (15%) are undecided.

Cuomo has been the front-runner in this race from the start, consistently running stronger than incumbent Democratic Governor David Paterson in primary and general election match-ups.

Hammered by the New York Times about his alleged involvement in the cover-up of a domestic abuse case involving a top aide, Paterson announced last month that he was not running this fall.

Paterson, who was elected lieutenant governor in November 2006, succeeded to the governor’s office in March 2008 following Eliot Spitzer’s resignation over a sex scandal. He is the first African-American governor of New York.

Lazio, a banker in recent years, first ran for statewide office in 2000 when he unsuccessfully battled Hillary Clinton for a seat in the U.S. Senate. His inability to make a dent in Cuomo’s numbers prompted Paladino’s interest in the race. Now Levy, the county executive of Suffolk County and a Democrat, has switched parties to run for the Republican gubernatorial nomination.

Cuomo has yet to announce his candidacy but is expected to seek his party’s nomination with little or no opposition. Both parties will pick their nominee in September 14 primaries.

The Democrat leads all three Republicans among both male and female voters. Among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties, Lazio leads Cuomo by eight points, while Levy and Paladino run nearly even with their Democratic opponent.

Thirty-one percent (31%) of New York voters have a very favorable opinion of Cuomo, while 18% view him very unfavorably.

For Lazio, very favorables are 10% and very unfavorables nine percent (9%).

Levy is seen very favorably by nine percent (9%) and very unfavorably by 13%.

Paladino’s very favorables are eight percent (8%) and his very unfavorables 11%.

Just nine percent (9%) have no opinion about Cuomo, while all three Republicans have considerably larger name recognition problems.


  1. HG-WT, Wire Paladin permalink
    March 31, 2010 7:23 pm

    In light of the above polling data, a recent article By Robert J. McCarthy in the NEWS POLITICAL REPORTER, “Paladino gives ’em what they want, ‘Tea party’ protesters galvanize in support of Buffalo developer” rates a look-see. You’ll see that conventional polling might not be able to measure the Tea-Party phenomenon or how it might propel a Paladian candidacy.

    It starts:

    “For more than a year now, local “tea party” activists have rallied and protested against high taxes and government intrusion in their lives.
    They’ve marched with signs, donned Uncle Sam suits, and waved “Don’t Tread On Me” flags — but never with a hero figure to rally around.
    That all may have changed Saturday afternoon as Buffalo’s Carl P. Paladino whipped up a crowd of about 250 at Erie Canal Harbor’s Commercial Slip. As he railed against the media and “liberal elites,” he seemed to strike a chord with a crowd ready for a local voice and face of their tea party movement.
    Paladino reached back to the 1976 film “Network” to lead them in chants of “I’m mad as hell and I’m not going to take it anymore,” and promised to reduce taxes and spending if successful in the Republican candidacy for governor he will launch on April 5.
    “It’s the liberal elites who are running this state into the ground,” he said. “The liberal media wants to stop me and the people who demand change in Albany.
    “They can’t,” he added. “Not if you’re mad enough.”
    The attorney and developer, wearing a Yankee hat and New York State Police jacket during his Saturday appearance, enters the political landscape at no ordinary time. He and his message arrive as many upstate taxpayers say they feel increasingly alienated by a state government dominated by New York City….

    McCarthy also goes onto discuss Paladino’s appraoch to the Republican establishment and the NYS Conservative Party.

    As I said, all in all, a decent read; it least it provides hope.


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